Measures of left atrial function predict incident atrial fibrillation in STEMI patients treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2018.03.013Get rights and content

Highlights

  • Only measurement of maximal left atrial volume is included in current guidelines.

  • Measures of left atrial function are superior to maximal left atrial volume.

  • Measures of left atrial function predict atrial fibrillation after STEMI.

Abstract

Rationale

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia following acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Maximal left atrial (LA) volume is the only echocardiographic atrial parameter employed clinically to assess risk of AF development.

Objective

This study sought to determine the prognostic value of left atrial functional measures such as left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF) and left atrial expansion index (LAi) in predicting incident AF in the post-STEMI setting.

Methods and results

STEMI patients treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) at Gentofte Hospital, Denmark were prospectively enrolled from September 2006 to December 2008 and had an echocardiogram performed a median 2 days (interquartile-range: 1-3 days) following pPCI. LA maximal volume, LA minimal volume, LAEF and LAi were measured from echocardiograms of 373 patients using the area-length method. End point was incident AF. Median follow-up time was 5.6 years (interquartile-range: 5.0-6.1 years), 24 patients (6%) developed incident AF, and follow-up was 100%. In multivariable Cox regression, LAEF and LAi but not maximal LA volume remained independent predictors of AF. Results were similar in competing risk analysis treating all–cause mortality as a competing risk. LAEF and LAi, but not maximal LA volume, added incremental prognostic information in predicting incident AF when added to the CHARGE-AF risk score and the CHA2DS2-VASc score.

Conclusion

LAEF and LAi independently predicted incident AF following STEMI and added incremental prognostic information in addition to established predictors of AF. Maximal LA volume was not an independent predictor of incident AF after multivariable adjustment.

Introduction

Complications following acute myocardial infarctions (MI) include both atrial and ventricular arrhythmias. Of these, ventricular arrhythmias pose the greatest risk of adverse outcome. Atrial fibrillation (AF), however, is far more common than ventricular arrhythmias following MI [1]. AF is associated with several adverse outcomes such as recurrent MI, progressive heart failure, stroke and malignant ventricular arrhythmias [2,3] Furthermore, asymptomatic episodes of paroxysmal AF are suspected to be a significant contributor to the underlying pathology of cryptogenic strokes [4]. The increased morbidity associated with AF can be reduced if proper treatment is initiated early, mainly through reduction of ischemic stroke (IS) risk from anti-coagulant and anti-platelet therapy [5]. Also, effective management of AF through cardioversion and medication is possible [6]. Lastly, ablation procedures display increased success rate if performed before significant atrial fibrosis develops as a result of AF, stressing the need for early intervention [7]. This calls for effective prediction and assessment of new-onset AF risk in ST-elevated myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients to improve overall prognosis and to reduce the risk of stroke and progressive heart failure following STEMI.

Echocardiographic assessment of AF risk is based on parameters of left ventricular (LV) diastolic function such as maximal left atrial (LA) volume or E/e′. E/e′, LA diameter, maximal LA volume and its index (LAVI) have all displayed proficiency in prediction of AF [8,9]. Despite this, only minimal LA volume and left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF), neither E/e′ nor maximal LA volume, were independently associated with paroxysmal AF in patients with ischemic strokes or transient ischemic attacks [10]. Furthermore, in a prospective cohort of 2200 patients with dyspnea, left atrial expansion index (LAi) but not LAVI accurately predicted persistent AF [11]. This suggest that less commonly employed echocardiographic parameters such as LAEF and LAi may offer incremental prognostic information compared to maximal LA volume in prediction of new-onset AF. Only measurement of maximal LA volume is included in current guidelines [12]. This study seeks to determine whether adding measures of LA function such as LAEF and LAi provides incremental prognostic information compared to maximal LA volume in predicting new-onset AF in STEMI patients treated with pPCI.

Section snippets

Population

The data and study population has been previously described [13]. STEMI patients undergoing pPCI were prospectively enrolled from September 2006 to December 2008 at Gentofte University Hospital, Denmark. All patients had an echocardiographic examination performed a median of 2 days after pPCI. STEMI diagnosis criteria were: 1) chest pain for longer than 30 min but <12 h and either >2 mm of ST elevation in 2 contiguous precordial leads, >1 mm of ST elevation in 2 contiguous limb leads or a newly

End-point and follow-up

Of the 373 patients admitted with STEMI and treated with pPCI, 24 (6%) developed new-onset AF. Median follow-up time was 5.6 years (interquartile-range: 5.0–6.1 years). Follow-up was 100%. Median time from pPCI treatment to echocardiographic examination was 2 days (interquartile-range: 1-3 days).

Baseline findings

The population was stratified into tertiles of LAEF (Table 1). Female gender and lower grades of TIMI flow were associated with decreasing LAEF. With regards to biomarkers, higher peak TnI and CRP

Discussion

Several predictors of incident AF were found in this study. After multivariable analysis adjusting for age, sex, diabetes, GLS, E/e′ and peak troponin I level, LAEF and LAi remained independent predictors of incident AF. In the final multivariable model, minimal LA volume did not retain significance. Maximal LA volume was not even a significant univariable predictor of incident AF. Furthermore, only LAEF and LAi significantly improved risk stratification for AF when added to easily obtainable

Conclusion

LAEF and LAi independently predicted incident AF following STEMI and added incremental prognostic information in addition to established predictors of AF. Maximal LA volume was not an independent predictor of incident AF after multivariable adjustment.

The following is the supplementary data related to this article.

. Competing risk analysis treating death from all causes as a competing outcome and atrial fibrillation as a primary outcome in Cox regressions.

Acknowledgements

None.

Sources of funding

None. Daniel Modin was not supported by any fund or grant while preparing this manuscript.

Disclosures

The authors report nothing to disclose and no conflicts of interest.

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